
I’m going to pat myself on the back for picking Chelsea in my EPL predictions last year when most people had Manchester United or Liverpool. Hopefully I can continue this trend. Truth be told I also remember the rest of my picks being off the mark but who cares when you get the winner right.
20th Blackpool
Blackpool punched above their weight the entire season in the Championship and managed to finished sixth. Come the playoff naturally the lowest seeded team would go on to win the lottery as Blackpool now sees themselves lavished with the riches of the Premier League.
Quite a nice turn around for one of the best quotes in the game Ian Holloway who two years ago was out of football after sending Leicester down to League One.
When you a small club like Blackpool you can do two things. Pretend your a big boy and spend beyond your means trying to stay up, knowing by doing soon it can cripple your club long term like Hull or you can pocket the 50 million or so in TV money then the parachute payments the years after when they go down. Can’t blame Blackpool to stay within their means and slowly open up the purse strings if they do stay up like Stoke City has done. Make no mistake however they will go down as this is a thin sqaud even with a rash of late signings and key players from last year like D. J. Campbell and Seamus Coleman returning to their parent club after successful loan spells.
Players in: Craig Cathcart (Man United, undisclosed), Ludovic Sylvestre (Mlada Boleslav, undisclosed), Eliot Grandin (CSKA Sofia, undisclosed), Malaury Martin (Monaco, free)
Players out: Daniel Nardiello (released), Hameur Bouazza (released), Al Bangura (released), Danny Mitchley (released), Joe Martin (released), Stephen McPhee (released), Ben Burgess (Notts County, free)
Key man: Charlie Adam
Odds to win league: 5,000-1
19th Wigan
After finishing 16th last year I’m tipping Wigan to slide even further down the table and out of the EPL. I can see what Roberto Martinez is tying to do in molding the club after his style of player but too many massive defeats leaves me questions if these Wigan players are going to buy into what Roberto Martinez is trying to sell. From a neutral point of view Wigan may be an entertaining team to watch with Mauro Boselli top scorer in the last Copa Libertadores partnering up with Hugo Rodallega up front. Add to that young players like Victor Moses and James McArthur Wigan may have something down the line but this squad is just too thin to especially at the back to predict a mid table finish.
Players in: Ronnie Stam (Twente, undisclosed), Mauro Boselli (Estudiantes, undisclosed), Antolin Alcaraz (Club Brugge, free), James McArthur (Hamilton, undisclosed), Ali Al-Habi (Bolton, loan)
Players out: Titus Bramble (Sunderland, undisclosed), Tomasz Cywka (Derby, free), Mario Melchiot (Umm Salal, free), Paul Scharner (released), Tomasz Kupisz (released), Jason Koumas (Cardiff, loan)
Key Man: Charles N’Zogbia
Odds to win the league: 3,000-1
18th West Brom
Picking West Brom to go down is usually a slam dunk when writting these previews as West Brom like Birmingham before them have been classic examples of yo-yo teams.
This time is will be Roberto Di Matteo who will try to keep West Brom up and much like many of these clubs on this list not a ton of money has been spent in the transfer market with former Villa man Nicky Shorey being the only player of note.
On the flip side West Brom return most of the team who got themselves automatically promoted last year. Keeping talented younger Graham Dorrans who had West Ham drooling for his services is a win onto itselt. I like the fact West Brom have kept the team who took them to the EPL. It’s a way of saying thanks and giving them confidence that they can have a go of it in the top flight. So while it wouldn’t shock me if they pulled a Birmingham and were safe the entire season I’m still picking them to be the last team sent down.
Players in: Boaz Myhill (Hull, undisclosed), Pablo Ibanez (Atletico Madrid, free), Gabriel Tamas (Auxerre, undisclosed), Steven Reid (Blackburn, free), Nicky Shorey (Aston Villa, undisclosed)
Players out: Andwele Slory (released), Robert Koren (released), Filipe Teixeira (released), Jonathan Greening (Fulham, undisclosed), Borja Valero (Villarreal, loan), Joss Labadie (Tranmere, free), Marcus Haber (St Johnstone, loan), Luke Daniels (Bristol Rovers, loan)
Key Player – Chris Wood (have always liked him from set pieces)
Odds to win the league: 3,500-1
17th Wolverhampton Wanderers
Could easily see Wolves and West Brom switch places as it could be Wolves who suffer from the dreaded sophomore slump. In order to stay up Mick McCarthy will need Marcus Hahnemann to stand on his head like he did last season.
One of the reasons I’ve picked Wolves to edge out West Brom is the fact Steven Fletcher and Kevin Doyle offer a decent front line, something West Brom couldn’t match up with. I’m actually a big fan of Steven Fletcher who could turn out to be one of the best buys of the season. He held his own last year with Burnley and liked him when he was at Hibs previously. Picking Stephen Hunt off the bone that is Hull is another wise signing. Hopefully for Wolves it won’t be three times unlikely as Hunt as gone done with Reading and Hull.
Players in: Jelle van Damme (Anderlecht, undisclosed), Steven Fletcher (Burnley undisclosed), Stephen Mouyokolo (Hull, undisclosed), Stephen Hunt (Hull, undisclosed), Adlene Guedioura (RSC Charleroi, free)
Players out: Jason Shackell (Barnsley, undisclosed), Mark Little (Peterborough, free), Daniel Jones (Sheff Wed, free), George Friend (Doncaster, free), Chris Iwelumo (Burnley, undisclosed), Andrew Surman (Norwich, undisclosed), Nathaniel Mendez-Laing (Peterborough, loan), Stefan Maierhofer (MSV Duisburg, loan), Sam Vokes (Bristol City, loan)
Key Player: Steven Fletcher
Odds to win the league: 3,000-1
16th Bolton
Owen Coyle had the summer to mold this team into his own image but going from Gary Megson to Owen Coyle is a complete 180 for these players who will now get to express themselves. Do they even have the skill set to do so? Nothing against Owen Coyle but he is still largely unproven in the top division. He had a decent run with Bolton to finish off the year but really there was little pressure on them from March onwards as Portsmouth, Hull and Burnley pretty much sealed their own faith.
Love the Martin Petrov and for this to work it will be Petrov who will lead the way with his set piece and crossing skills to the likes of Mr Bolton Kevin Davies and another free transfer Ivan Klasnic who will know Bolton will after spending the second half of the season on loan.
Another coup for Owen Coyle is keeping near England defender Gary Cahill. Sign of the times that teams are tightening there belt as in years past Gary Cahill would of been sold.
Players in: Martin Petrov (Manchester City, free), Robbie Blake (Burnley, free), Marcos Alonso (Real Madrid, undisclosed), Ivan Klasnic (Nantes, free)
Players out: Nicky Hunt (Bristol City, free), Ali Al-Habsi (Wigan, loan), Ricardo Vaz Te (released), Zoltan Harsanyi (released)
Key Player: Martin Petrov
Odds to win the league: 2,500-1
15th Newcastle
You can only kick someone when they are down for so long before you start to feel sorry for them. This sums up my feelings on Newcastle. It’s rare that I have said this in my life but give full credit to the Newcastle fans. They could of sulked last season being in the Championship but instead they were behind their team 100% filling up St James park week after week. Another postive was unlike Liverpool, ownership issues stayed behind closed doors last year.
Much like West Brom, Newcastle will give the core of their players the chance to prove themselves again at the top tier of English football after it was many of them who helped get Newcastle sent down to being with. This time it does appear these players have learned from that mistake and don’t take life in the EPL for granted which should help them stay up.
Players in: James Perch (Nottingham Forest, undisclosed), Dan Gosling (Everton, free), Sol Campbell (Arsenal, free)
Players out: Nicky Butt (released), Fabrice Pancrate (released)
Key man: Kevin Nolan
Odds to win the league: 1,000-1
14th Blackburn Rovers
If it wasn’t for Sam Allardyce somehow pulling a rabbit out of a hat I’d be ranking this team way down as there is little that I like about it.
Even today I still do a double take at the fact Blackburn finished 10th in last season. While it isn’t pretty to watch have to give credit to Sam Allardyce for getting the most out of his players. A running theme for many English clubs is the fact there has been little in the way of improvements thus far in the off season. Only Mame Biram Diouf coming over on loan from Manchester United being the only player of note.
Players in: Hugo Fernandez (Union Deportiva Cornella, undisclosed), Mame Biram Diouf (Man United, loan)
Players out: Steven Reid (West Brom, free), Marcus Marshall (Rotherham, free), Andy Howarth (Bury, free), Michael Hall (Accrington, free)
Key Player: Ryan Nelsen
Odds to win league: 1,000-1
13th Fulham
Dream season for Fulham last season making it to the Europa League finals and spending most of the season in the top half of the league until a late slide due to focusing on the Europa League found Fulham finishing in 12th place.
This season looks to be a cluture shock for both coach Mark Hughes who goes from running a club with billionanire Arab owner to running a club with a multi millionanire Arab owner. Also working against Mark Hughes is the fact it took quite long for Fulham to appoint him as there head coach. Not having a full pre season will set this club back some. Fulham seaosn has already gotten off to a horrible start with Philippe Senderos missing most of the upcoming year with a blown knee. Hopefully this isn’t an omen for the reason of Fulham’s season.
Players in: Philippe Senderos (Arsenal, undisclosed), Jonathan Greening (West Brom, undisclosed)
Players out: Chris Smalling (Manchester United, undisclosed), Erik Nevland (Viking, free), Elliot Omozusi (Leyton Orient, free), Stefan Payne (Gillingham, free), Christopher Buchtmann (Cologne, undisclosed), Wayne Brown (Bristol Rovers, free), Toni Kallio (released), Andranik Teymourian (released)
Key Player : Clint Dempsey
Odds to win the league: 750-1
12th Birmingham
Don’t expect a sophomore slump from Birmingham who suprised everyone by finishing 9th last season. On the flip side don’t except Birmingham to improve on last year’s 9th place finish. This Birmingham team remains me of Sunderland last season where bigger things where expected of them only to have an average season.
The key to Birmingham’s fortunes will be Ben Foster who comes over from manchester United. How will Ben Foster replace Joe Hart who had a fine season with Birmingham last year. If Foster can stay fit and play up to the standard of Joe Hart Birmingham should finish mid table or higher. If not it could be a season to forgot for Alex McLeish’s men.
Players in: Enric Valles (NAC Breda, free), Ben Foster (Manchester United, £6m), Nikola Zigic (Valencia, £6m)
Players out: Gary McSheffrey (Coventry, free), Gregory Vignal (released), Jared Wilson (released), Lee Carsley (Coventry, free), Artur Krysiak (Exeter, free), Robin Shroot (Cheltenham, loan), Franck Queudrue (Panionios, free), Colin Doyle (Coventry, loan)
Key Player – Nikola Žigić
Odds to win the league: 750-1
11th Stoke City
When Tony Pulis is done coaching he should offer advice on how to take a club which isn’t a massive club and lead them to not only survive in the EPL but also thrive all things considered. Piece by piece Tony Pulis has built a team able to complete in the EPL. Pulis has also not spent money like there is a hole in his pocket. Pulis has waited to the right player at the right price and Pulis must feel he found the right player in Kenwyne Jones who on his day can be a terror in the box. That works out quite well when you have throwing machines Rory Delap feeding you balls in the box.
Players in: Florent Cuvelier (Portsmouth, undisclosed) Kenwyne Jones
Players out: Andy Griffin (Reading, undisclosed), Steve Simonsen (Sheffield United, free), Amdy Faye (released), Diego Arismendi (Barnsley, loan), Ibrahima Sonko (Portsmouth, loan), Nathaniel Wedderburn (Northampton, free), Louis Moult (Bradford, loan)
Key Player – Kenwyne Jones
Odds to win the league: 1,000-1
10th West Ham
Have to give credit to West Ham for being active all summer long in trying to improve themselves. The first order of business was hiring Avram Grant who was basically sold a bill of goods in Porsmouth and did the best he could. It may not be Chelsea but Grant will get to call the shots and signing former German international Thomas Hitzlsperger to go along with players he knows well in Frederic Piquionne and Tal Ben-Haim are good start.
West Ham is another example of a team who gained by not losing as paper. After rumours all summer it does look like Scott Parker will contiune to be the face of this team going forward.
Players in: Winston Reid (FC Midtjylland, undisclosed), Thomas Hitzlsperger (Lazio, free), Pablo Barrera (UNAM, £4m), Frederic Piquionne (Lyon, undisclosed), Tal Ben-Haim (Portsmouth, loan), Winston Reid, (FC Midtjylland, £4m)
Players out: Guillermo Franco (released), Ilan (released), Josh Payne (Doncaster, free), Bondz N’Gala (Plymouth, free), Matthew Fry (Charlton, loan)
Odds to win the league: 1,250-1
9th Sunderland
Sunderland will benefit by not having the expectations placed upon them like last year but make no mistakes there will be heat on Steve Bruce to make things right after a season where Sunderland went winnless for three months.
After a season of disappointment somebody is going to pay the price which happened to Kewyne Jones as he was sold to Stoke. Now even more so it will be up to Darren Bent to bag in the goals but can he repeat his career year of last season? To help in that regard Danny Welbeck has been sent on loan from Manchester United but the biggest improvement for Sunderland should be in there backline. After a rough first season Michael Turner will have Titus Bramble to go along with loan signings John Mensah and Nedum Onuoha shore up the back four.
Players in: Titus Bramble (Wigan, undisclosed), Cristian Riveros (Cruz Azul, free), Marcos Angeleri (Estudiantes, undisclosed), Simon Mignolet (Sint Truidense, undisclosed), Ahmed Al-Muhammadi (ENPPI, loan), John Mensah (Lyon, loan)
Players out: Daryl Murphy (Celtic, undisclosed), Jamie Chandler (Darlington, free) Roy O’Donovan (Coventry, undisclosed), Marton Fulop (Ipswich, undisclosed), Lorik Cana (Galatasaray, £5m), Nyron Nosworthy (Sheffield United, loan), Conor Hourihane (Ipswich, undisclosed), Oumare Tounkare (Oldham, loan), Michael Liddle (Leyton Orient, loan), Jean Yves Mvoto Owono (Oldham, loan)
Key man: Darren Bent
Odds to win the league: 750-1
8th Aston Villa
One of two things can happen here. Either the remaining Aston Villa players will rally around themselves to show up Martin O’Neill who left on the eve of the season or O’Neill’s departure will cause a tailspin to mid table.
Even without James Milner still believe there is enough talent for Villa to stay in the top half of the talent. The service out wide should still be good with Ashley Young and Stewart Downing now it’s up to Gabriel Agbonlahor to take the next step and maybe Nathan Delfouneso can start to fulfill his promise this season.
Players in: None
Players out: Wilfred Bouma (released), Marlon Harewood (released), Stephen O’Halloran (Coventry, free), Andy Marshall (released), Jack Dyer (Burton, free), Nicky Shorey (West Brom, undisclosed)
Key man: Ashley Young
Odds to win the league: 200-1
7th Tottenham
The good news I do think Tottenham will make the Champions League after knocking on the door for many years. On the flip side I do think it will come at the hands of their place in the league. Champions League football is a different beast. It isn’t the Europa League where you can gloss over it. These mid week games will mean something and when you have a team with the likes of Ledley King and Jonathan Woodgate it’s going to leave the likes of Michael Dawson to carry the load. For Tottenham to compete in Champions League football next year, forget about signing a midfielder or striker a defender or two is what’s needed.
Players in: Sandro (Internacional, £6m)
Players out: Jimmy Walker (released), Sam Cox (Barnet, free), Lee Butcher (Leyton Orient, free), David Button (Plymouth, loan), Oscar Jansson (Northampton, loan), Adel Taarabt (QPR, undisclosed), John Bostock (Hull, loan)
Key Player – Jermain Defoe
Odds to win the league: 28-1
6th Everton
Never pictured myself saying this but one of the key reasons Everton is yet again going to finish outside the top four is the fact it looks likely Landon Donovan won’t be back. The good news is Mikel Arteta has resigned for an extra five years and unlike last year they don’t have to deal with the Joleon Lescott rumours heading into this season.
With no new signings of note it’s hard to get excited for this team but David Moyes knows how to get the best out of every single player. It just won’t be enough to lead them into the Champions League.
Players in: Joao Silva (Desportivo Das Aves, £500,000), Jan Mucha (Legia Warsaw, free), Jermaine Beckford (Leeds, free), Magaye Gueye (Strasbourg, undisclosed)
Players out: John Ruddy (Norwich, free), Dan Gosling (Newcastle, free), Carlo Nash (Stoke, free), Lucas Jutkiewicz (Coventry, undisclosed)
Key Player -Mikel Arteta
Odds to win the league: 150-1
5th Manchester United
Go big or go home and I’ve found myself dropping Manchester United out of the Champions League spots. In short between 2007-2009 those Manchester United teams had an identity. This Manchester United I’m still not comfortable with Wayne Rooney being the centrepiece of this team.
New boy Javier Hernandez has been a head turner thus far but the true test will come this winter. How will Javier Hernandez be able to handle the cold winters England has to offer? Most likely going to look like a fool at the end of the year but sometimes you have to hit rock botton before you come up again. For Manchester United finishing 5th would be rock botton.
Players in: Chris Smalling (Fulham, undisclosed), Javier Hernandez (Guadalajara, undisc)
Players out: Ben Foster (Birmingham, undisclosed), Zoran Tosic (CSKA Moscow, undisclosed), David Gray (Preston, free), Craig Cathcart (Blackpool, undisclosed), Cameron Stewart (Yeovil, loan), Matthew James (Preston, loan), Ron-Robert Zieler (Hannover, free), Tom Heaton (Cardiff, free), Mame Biram Diouf (Blackburn, loan), James Chester (Carlisle, loan), Daniel Drinkwater (Cardiff, loan), Joshua King (Preson, loan)
Key man: Wayne Rooney
Odds to win the league: 2-1
4th Manchester City
On the bright side Manchester City can say they finished ahead of Manchester United in the standings but don’t see them fighting for a title.
Too many chefs in the kitchen is the term which comes to mind when thinking about Manchester City. Sometimes less and more, add in distractions from highly paid players who are wasting away on the bench and Roberto Mancini has an impossible job on his hands. Too many players from too many parts of the world will cause City to not fulfill their potential.
Players in: Yaya Toure (Barcelona, undisclosed), Jerome Boateng (Hamburg, undisclosed), David Silva (Valencia, undisclosed), Alex Henshall (Swindon, undisclosed), Aleksandar Kolarov (Lazio, undisclosed), Albert Rusnak (Kosice, undisclosed)
Players out: Valeri Bojinov (Parma, undisclosed), Javier Garrido (Lazio, £2.5m) Martin Petrov (Bolton, free), Benjani Mwaruwari (released), Sylvinho (released), Robert Mak (Nurnberg, £500,000), Gunnar Nielsen (Tranmere, loan), Filip Mentel (Dundee United, free), Ryan McGivern (Walsall, loan), David Ball (Swindon, loan), Paul Marshall (Walsall, free), Kieran Trippier (Barnsley, loan), Adam Clayton (Leeds, loan), Andrew Tutte (Rochdale, loan)
Key Player – Robinho (joking) No clue to be honest who will stand out for Manchester City.
Odds to win the league: 11-2
3rd Arsenal
It could easily be Arsenal and Manchester United flip flopping between 3rd and 5th place. It still annoys me that Wenger refuses to make a splash on the transfer market. To Wenger’s credit the transfer market is pretty weird this summer thanks to years of spending finally catching up to terms. You can’t picture Wenger spending 25 million for David Luiz. For that money there want a sure thing and those are hard to find these days with Manchester City driving up the price. Wenger also had to deal with Barcelona trying every trick in the boot to sign Cesc Fàbregas. Credit to Wenger for standing up to Barcelona and credit to Fabregas who everyone knows wants to play for Barcelona but won’t turn his back on Arsenal to do so.
Players in: Marouane Chamakh (Bordeaux, free), Laurent Koscielny (Lorient, £10m), Kyle Ebecilio (Feyenoord, free)
Players out: Eduardo (Shakhtar Donetsk, £6m), Philippe Senderos (Fulham, undisclosed), Fran Merida (Atletico Madrid, free), Luke Ayling (Yeovil, free), Mikael Silvestre (released), William Gallas (released), Francis Coquelin (Lorient, loan), Luke Freeman (Yeovil, loan), Sol Campbell (released), Sanchez Watt (Leeds, loan), Kyle Bartley (Sheff Utd, loan)
Key Player – Cesc Fàbregas
Odds to win the league: 6-1
2nd place – Liverpool
What I like about Liverpool is the fact there is little pressure on them this season. Most people yet again except Liverpool to stay outside of the top four. Unlike last year Liverpool won’t have to deal with the pressure o title or nothing.
Personally I loved seeing Rafa Benitez fail. There was something about it I enjoyed. How he would never completely taking the blame for his teams poor play. It was either injuries or bad ownership. Both had something to do with it but so did Rafa’s tactis and man management.
In comes Roy Hodgson and you have a person few can knock. I can’t even imagine Sir Alex Ferguson playing mind games with Hodgson. You have to respect his love for the game and the job he did at Fulham. I also think unlike Rafa, Roy Hodgson is going to let his players do what they are best doing. Rafa always had his players doing what he wanted them to do, be it if they were comfortable or not doing it.
Players in: Joe Cole (Chelsea, free), Jonjo Shelvey (Charlton, £1.7m), Milan Jovanovic (Standard Liege, free), Danny Wilson (Rangers, £2m), Fabio Aurelio (re-signed)
Players out: Yossi Benayoun (Chelsea, undisclosed), Albert Riera (Olympiakos, undisclosed), David Martin (MK Dons, free), Mikel San Jose (Athletic Bilbao, undisclosed), Fabio Aurelio (released), Robbie Threlfall (Bradford, free), James Ellison (Burton, free), Philipp Degen (Stuttgart, loan)
Key man: Fernando Torres
Odds to win the league: 14-1
1st Chelsea
I was actually thinking of picking Liverpool to win the league but I just love the Ramires signing. He is the perfect player for that team who with his pace and skill will burst open EPL midfields. Also love how Carlo Ancelotti handles egos on the field and in the boardroom. He has a way to keep everyone happy and more importantly on the same page. It also doesn’t hurt Chelsea that they can count on Frank Lampard and Didier Drogba for 50 goals between them in a season. Look for Carlo Ancelotti to build upon his success from last year with a deeper run in the Champions League as well.
Players in: Yossi Benayoun (Liverpool, £5m), Matej Delac (Inter Zapresic, £2.7m)
Players out: Joe Cole (Liverpool, free), Michael Ballack (Bayer Leverkusen, free), Scott Sinclair (Swansea, £500,000), Juliano Belletti (Fluminense, free), Deco (Fluminense, undisclosed), Miroslav Stoch (Fenerbahce, £2.5m), Tomas Kalas (Sigma Olomouc, loan), Liam Bridcutt (released), Seth Nana Ofori-Twumasi (Peterborough, free), Rhys Taylor (Crewe, loan), Danny Philliskirk (Oxford, loan), Ryan Bertrand (Nottm Forest, loan), Ben Gordon (Kilmarnock, loan)
Key man: Frank Lampard
Odds to win the league: 13-8